SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS AND COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF AN IMPROVED INVENTORY MANAGEMENT MODEL UNDER VARIABLE REPLENISHMENT AND SHORTAGE CONDITIONS

Authors

  • Dr. Riddhi D. Patel Assistant Teacher, Sadvichar Parivar Viklang Punarvas Kendra, Gandhinagar, Gujarat, India
  • Dr. Vipul G. Patel Department of Mathematics, School of Pure & Applied Sciences, Sabarmati University, Ahmedabad, Gujarat, India

Keywords:

Inventory Management, Sensitivity Analysis, Variable Lead Time, Shortages, Reorder Point, Order Quantity, Comparative Evaluation, Stochastic Inventory, Service Level, Mathematical Modelling

Abstract

Inventory policies that perform well under average replenishment conditions may become inefficient when replenishment lead time varies and shortages occur. This study presents a mathematical sensitivity and comparative evaluation framework for an improved continuous-review inventory model in which order quantity, reorder point, variable replenishment time, and shortage penalties are considered jointly. The framework compares a conventional EOQ-based policy with an improved policy selected through systematic search over feasible order quantity and reorder point combinations. The analysis evaluates total relevant cost, shortage exposure, service level, fill rate, average inventory, and replenishment workload under low, moderate, and high lead-time variability. Additional sensitivity analysis examines the response of the optimized policy to shortage-penalty changes. The numerical experiment uses a synthetic 12-period demand sequence and explicitly serves as a reproducible illustration rather than organizational field evidence. The results demonstrate the methodological value of evaluating an inventory policy over multiple replenishment scenarios rather than relying on a single nominal lead-time assumption. The proposed framework provides a basis for identifying parameter conditions under which an inventory policy remains economically and operationally robust.

References

I. Harris, F. W. (1913). How many parts to make at once. Factory, The Magazine of Management, 10(2), 135–136, 152.

II. Silver, E. A., Pyke, D. F., & Thomas, D. J. (2016). Inventory and Production Management in Supply Chains (4th ed.). CRC Press.

III. Zipkin, P. H. (2000). Foundations of Inventory Management. McGraw-Hill.

IV. Axsäter, S. (2015). Inventory Control (3rd ed.). Springer.

V. Ouyang, L.-Y., Wu, K.-S., & Ho, C.-H. (1998). The effect of lead time and ordering cost reduction in a continuous-review inventory system with backorders. Computers & Operations Research, 25(4), 261–271.

VI. Ouyang, L.-Y., Yeh, N.-C., & Wu, K.-S. (1996). Mixture inventory model with backorders and lost sales for variable lead time. Journal of the Operational Research Society, 47, 829–832.

VII. Ouyang, L.-Y., & Chuang, K.-W. (2001). A continuous review inventory model involving controllable backorder rate and variable lead time. International Journal of Systems Science, 32(3), 329–334.

VIII. Kim, S.-L., & Benton, W. C. (1999). Inventory management with variable lead-time dependent procurement cost. International Journal of Production Economics, 59(1–3), 129–136.

IX. Ben-Daya, M., & Hariga, M. (2004). Integrated single vendor single buyer model with stochastic demand and variable lead time. International Journal of Production Economics, 92(1), 75–80. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpe.2003.09.012

X. Tajbakhsh, M. M. (2014). Min–max distribution free continuous-review model with a service level constraint and variable lead time. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 229, 310–315. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2013.12.034

XI. Jiang, Y., Shi, C., & Shen, S. (2019). Service Level Constrained Inventory Systems. Production and Operations Management, 28(9), 2365–2389. https://doi.org/10.1111/poms.13060

XII. Bertsimas, D., & Paschalidis, I. Ch. (2001). Probabilistic service level guarantees in make-to-stock manufacturing systems. Operations Research, 49(1), 119–133. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.49.1.119.11183

XIII. Pan, J. C.-H., & Yang, J.-S. (2009). Two-echelon supply chain inventory model with controllable lead time and service level constraint. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 57(3), 1096–1104. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cie.2009.04.018

XIV. Bertsimas, D., & Thiele, A. (2006). A robust optimization approach to inventory theory. Operations Research, 54(1), 150–168. https://doi.org/10.1287/opre.1050.0238

XV. Mamani, H., Nassiri, S., & Wagner, M. R. (2017). Closed-form solutions for robust inventory management. Management Science, 63(5), 1625–1643. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2015.2391

XVI. Lim, Y. F., & Wang, C. (2017). Inventory management based on target-oriented robust optimization. Management Science, 63(12), 4409–4427. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.2016.2565

XVII. Anderson, E. T., Fitzsimons, G. J., & Simester, D. (2006). Measuring and mitigating the costs of stockouts. Management Science, 52(11), 1751–1763. https://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.1060.0577

XVIII. de Kok, T., Grob, C., Laumanns, M., Minner, S., Rambau, J., & Schade, K. (2018). A typology and literature review on stochastic multi-echelon inventory models. European Journal of Operational Research, 269(3), 955–983. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejor.2018.02.047

XIX. A stochastic inventory model with elastic demand and random lead time. Journal of Engineering Research (2026). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jer.2026.06.017

XX. A manufacturer-buyers integrated inventory model with various distributions of lead times of delivering equal-sized batches of a lot. Computers & Industrial Engineering, 145 (2020), 106516.

XXI. A simple method to locate the optimal solution of the inventory model with variable lead time. Computers & Operations Research, 26(6) (1999), 599–605. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-0548(98)00049-5

XXII. Maiti, A. K., Maiti, M. K., & Maiti, M. (2009). Inventory model with stochastic lead-time and price dependent demand incorporating advance payment. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 33(5), 2433–2443. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2008.07.024

Downloads

Published

01-09-2026

How to Cite

Dr. Riddhi D. Patel, & Dr. Vipul G. Patel. (2026). SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS AND COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF AN IMPROVED INVENTORY MANAGEMENT MODEL UNDER VARIABLE REPLENISHMENT AND SHORTAGE CONDITIONS. International Educational Applied Scientific Research Journal, 11(09), 106–112. Retrieved from https://ieasrj.com/journals/index.php/ieasrj/article/view/691